Why buy? Why get into a real estate market that is always a big step personally and financially?
What follows is a somewhat-typical chronology of home ownership. From early adulthood to later adulthood, the journey and buying and selling homes can be fluid, to say the least. While it’s not for everybody, it is for two-thirds of Canadians, according to surveys which had home ownership peak at about 70 per cent a few years ago. So, a young couple takes that first step of living together and sharing everything, including the mortgage. It may be something of a dream come true, it may be a
confidence builder, it may make for a good investment, or all of the above. The home suits them until… Children. The arrival of little ones frequently leads to a new, or different home. Space is a factor, of course, and the number of little ones often dictates how many times this will happen…extra bedrooms for the kids, a bigger kitchen to prepare their meals, etc. The years pass, the kids become adults and start down their own road of financial independence. The parents need less space, perhaps have more equity and likely have more freedom. It’s moving time again. They typically will become renters or buy a smaller house, leaving them with more disposable income. That’s one typical progression. Of course, there are certain to be pros and cons. For years, they have been masters of their “castles” and able to do whatever they want — nobody tells them what colour to paint this or how to do anything pertaining to their “own turf.” If they’ve stayed in the same community, there may have been social benefits. Ideally, the home has represented stability, independence and freedom of reaching adulthood, as well as being an equity-builder that becomes a ready-made savings plan. More often than not, home ownership is dependent on sustainability. It’s important for home owners to be able to afford not just the payments, but also the taxes and maintenance and repairs. It’s also important not to be so house-poor that it impacts on expected leisure activities. Home ownership can be a good idea that, like all good ideas, doesn’t come with a guarantee. The fact that two-thirds of Canadians are home owners is, at least, an endorsement.
There will have bene 21 ships from 13 cruise lines in Vancouver by the end of the month, and having a look at them is as easy as checking out the complete list on this website. Fans of specific cruise lines will be interested to know there will be more Holland America ships (4) sailing under the Lions Gate Bridge this month than any other line, followed by Princess Cruises (3) and then Celebrity, Royal Caribbean and Silversea, each with two ships visiting Burrard Inlet. Check out the arrival and departure times for all the visitors, plus a link that tells you more about each ship.
There will soon be one million multi-generational Canadian families living under the same roof. That’s seven per cent of all the country’s inventory. The number of homes shared by multiple generations of a family, two or more families, or one family living with unrelated individuals has grown by 45% the past 20 years. This census data is from research conducted from October to December last year.
Vancouver has more non-resident home owners than six other major metropolitan regions analyzed by Statistics Canada. Non-residents (Canadian citizens and non-citizens living outside Canada) own 4.2 per cent of Vancouver’s homes. By comparison, 2.7 per cent of Toronto’s home owners live elsewhere. Percentages for the other five regions, based on 2020 statistics, are: St. John’s 2.7, Halifax 2.4, Moncton 1.7, Manitoba 1.5 and Yellowknife 1.4.
In reacting to the news that Victoria is considered the greenest “small city” in Canada, the city’s real estate board pointed out that real estate life in Greater Victoria is returning to normal for the first time in two years: “While inventory is still below historical levels for a spring market, it’s now within our pre-pandemic five-year average, which is good news for buyers.”
The current financial climate is affecting the real estate market in three ways:
1. The inventory of homes for sale is gradually increasing.
2. The overall prices of homes is gradually decreasing.
3. Sales are slowing.
Statistics for July, released by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver, indicate — in general — that’s the impact which is being felt throughout Metro Vancouver. Accompanying the monthly report was this commentary:
“Home buyers are exercising more caution in today’s market in response to rising interest rates and inflationary concerns. After two years of market conditions that favoured home sellers, home buyers now have more selection to choose from and more time to make their decision. In today’s changing housing market, both home buyers and sellers should invest the time to understand what these changes mean for their personal circumstances.”
As usual, the statistics do not necessarily apply to every market within the Lower Mainland. They represent an overall impression of the entire area and should be analyzed as such. In many markets, the drop in home prices is best described as “softening” or “drifting.” That’s somewhat different than the statistics in general.
For example, the REBGV reports that July sales throughout Metro Vancouver were 35.2 per cent below the 10-year average, down by 43.3 per cent compared to the previous July and 22.8 lower than the homes sold in June 2022.
The ongoing and fundamentally important issue in any statistical analysis is the number of listings, even as interest rates and other factors are changing. The number of
listings is what sustains market activity, and it varies from micro-market to micro-market. The state of the market is not really as simple as the statistics indicate. So that's something else to keep in mind, and something that will be addressed in more detail in a future issue of News From Nexus.
While new listings are down (on MLS) compared to July 2021 and June 2022, the total number of homes for sale last month was up 4.4 per cent over a year ago, and about the same as June. There were 10,288 homes listed for sale in July.
The statistic that’s usually the most telling barometer for home prices is the sales-to-active listings ratio. When it’s above 20 per cent for a sustained period, that is likely to push prices up, When it’s below 12 per cent also for a sustained period, pricers can be expected to go down.
The ratio for July was 18.3 per cent. By property type, the ratio was 11.8 per cent for detached homes, 20 per cent for townhomes and 24.5 per cent for apartments. In July, 523 detached homes, 304 attached homes and 1,060 apartments were sold in Metro Vancouver. All three categories were lower than the number of homes sold in the same month a year ago.
That, o
f course, was before the rise in interest rates, before the inflation that is currently a part of life everywhere.
Statistics for the markets of West Vancouver, North Vancouver, Vancouver West and Vancouver East are graphically displayed below, as always.
“Jennifer and Dale consistently went the extra mile helping us select, tour and discern the advantages and potential pitfalls of countless properties. Their warm and engaging personalities, combined with a quiet but clear confidence in their work, left us with the tools and experience necessary to make the right decision. We have the highest confidence in recommending them to anyone, knowing they will serve with equal distinction.”
— Reverends Ross Lockhart and Laura Lockhart, West Vancouver
Photo credits: Decor: Andrey Popov, Canva — House and key: Tierra Mallorca, Unsplash — Night view of Vancouver: Florian Wehde, Unsplash — Cruise ship: Cruising Done Right
Real Estate Monthly Statistics
The following statistics for West Vancouver, North Vancouver, Vancouver West and Vancouver East compare July 2022 to July 2021
(note: sales refers to number of sales, not to sale prices).
Benchmark Price: Estimated sale price of a benchmark property. Benchmarks represent a typical property within each market.
To see more information on local stats, please click here.
What's happening in August throughout the Lower Mainland, with protocols included as currently known.
August 4-14Vancouver Mural Festival2410 Columbia St.Daily mural tours, public talks, live performances at the all-new City Centre Festival Hub, plus a spectacular all-ages festival closing street party in downtownwww.destinationvancouver.comAugust 12Candlelight: Vivaldi Four SeasonsKerrisdale Presbyterian ChurchThe music of Vivaldi in the gentle glow of candlelight, at the iconic Kerrisdale Presbyterian Churchfeverup.com
August 12-14Ambleside Music FestivalWest VancouverWest Van’s waterfront transformed into a spectacular open-air concert venue, with three days of non-stop musichttps://amblesidefestival.comAugust 20
Steveston Dragon Boat FestivalSteveston Harbour and Imperial Landing ParkOver 2,000 paddlers for races, visual arts, live music and culinary delightsstevestondragonboatfestival.caAugust 20 (and September 17)Candlelight: A tribute to AdeleKerrisdale Presbyterian ChurchEnjoy Adele’s greatest hits in the iconic Kerrisdale Presbyterian Churchhttps://feverup.comAugust 20 to September 5The PNE Fair2901 East Hastings St.All the usual rides, fun, food, concerts and amazing thrills, daily except Mondaywww.pne.ca
B.C. Lions at B.C. Place Stadium
August 29Alicia Keys World TourRogers ArenaAlicia Keys, a winner of 15 Grammy Awards, and an accomplished actor, author and producer in a concert re-scheduled from 2020alicia-the-world-tour Until August 14
Until August 27Theatre Under the Stars, Stanley ParkSomething Rotten, and We Will Rock YouA Vancouver tradition on alternating evenings throughout the summer, high-energy outdoor stage presentations certain to entertaintuts.ca
Until August 31Stargazer: An immersive experience in Outer SpaceTsawwassen Mills Shopping MallA journey through the stars and into deep space for all ages, with astonishing 270º wall and floor projections; curated in part by the MacMillan Space Centrefeverup.com
Wednesdays in AugustSunset Cinema Outdoor Moviesšxʷƛ̓exən Xwtl’a7shn (outside the Queen Elizabeth Theatre)630 Hamilton St.Free movies on a huge inflatable screen under the stars, most Wednesdays this monthwww.destinationvancouver.comOngoingOrpheum Theatre Walking Tours884 Granville St., VancouverFree guided tours of the Orpheum Theatre, one of the most beautiful concert halls in North Americawww.destinationvancouver.comOn now
The Great Salmon Run 4D ExperienceVancouver AquariumStanley ParkBased on one of Mother Nature’s most amazing events; 10 a.m - 5 p.m. daily (COVID-19 protocols in effect)www.vanaqua.orgUntil September 2Shipyards LiveThe Shipyards, North VancouverAn evening of musical entertainment, fun for the whole family, every Friday eveninghttp://shipyardslive.ca
Until September 5More Than a Mine: Recreation in a Mining TownBritannia Mine Museum, Britannia BeachExhibition detailing the life and times of the miners and their familieswww.britanniaminemuseum.ca Until September 25
Wildlife Rescue: Miracles in Conservation
Vancouver Aquarium, Stanley Park
An up-close look at incredible animals, with hands-on displays and experts to answer your questions
vanaqua.org/explore/experiences/wildlife-rescue
Until October 9Richmond Night Market8351 River Road, RichmondThe largest night market in North America, weekend eveningshttps://richmondnightmarket.com
Until October
Boarder X
Museum of Vancouver
A travelling exhibit that features work by contemporary artists from Indigenous nations across Canada (proof of vaccination required)
https://museumofvancouver.ca
Until February 23, 2023
T. rex: The Ultimate Predator
Science World
A life-sized model of a Tyrannosaurus rex to captivate young and old, setting the stage for entertaining investigation into dinosaur history — daily from 10:00 a.m. (Covid-19 protocols in effect)
VanDusen Botanical GardensVancouverEnjoying the great outdoors in the heart of the city, family-friendlyvandusengarden.orgSea to Sky GondolaSquamishSummer ScheduleSpectacular suspension bridge, mountain music, yoga and many summer activities at the top of the mountainwww.seatoskygondola.com Stanley ParkOver 65,000 animals under one roof, home of the only Marine Mammal Rescue Centre in Canada (mandatory face masks)
www.vanaqua.org
Bill Reid GalleryA small but significant collection of art and archives related to Bill Reid and his legacy, with a majority of it (161 works in a variety of media from jewelry to prints and sculptures) from the Simon Fraser University Bill Reid Collection.
www.billreidgallery.caWorldwide WebcamsA website catering to people who miss travel, visiting virtually everywhere with webcams from Argentina to Zanzibar, and many places in between
skylinewebcams.comBuckingham PalaceA virtual tour of the official residence of Queen Elizabeth, the focus of many moments of national celebration — jubilees, weddings, VE Day and the annual Trooping the Colour on The Queen's official birthday
www.royal.uk/virtual-tours-buckingham-palaceBC Sports Hall of Fame and MuseumMany of Canada’s most talented athletes at Indigenous Sport Gallery, Canadian Dragon Boat Exhibition, Greg Moore Gallery, Rick Hansen Gallery! Daily 9 a.m. to 5 p.m.
bcsportshall.comSea to Sky Gondola — SquamishA breathtaking gondola ride to the summit to experience the Sky Pilot Suspension Bridge, three spectacular viewing platforms, snowshoeing, walking and hiking trails, with dining and shopping experiences at both ends of the ride; 9:30 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. daily
www.seatoskygondola.comGrouse Mountain — The Peak of VancouverPlenty of activities for all ages when purchasing a mountain admission ticket
www.tourismvancouver.com/listings/grouse-mountain-the-peakVirtual Tours of 12 Famous MuseumsExperiencing museums from London to Seoul from the comfort of your home
www.travelandleisure.com/attractionsNorth Shore Eventswww.vancouversnorthshore.com/events-calendar/West Vancouver United ChurchSunday service 10 a.m.
wvuc.bc.ca/worship/Tourism VancouverVirtually Vancouver, and more
www.tourismvancouver.comNeed some culture or learning in your life? Go to a virtual museum — you’ll find a lot of them through Google:
artsandculture.google.comGo to a virtual opera:
www.metopera.org/Visit the Science Centre:
www.scienceworld.ca/ Nature web cams can be fun to watch.
explore.org/livecamsSearch for lots of free learning programs for kids and adults online.
Virtual programming at your favourite library On now
The Great Salmon Run 4D Experience
Vancouver Aquarium
Stanley Park
Based on one of Mother Nature’s most amazing events; 10 a.m - 5 p.m. daily (Covid-19 protocols in effect)